U19 EC Qualifying Final
Global 2-2
Germany U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
GER
3 - 1
SWE
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
TUR
2 - 2
GER
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
0 - 4
GER
43%
24%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
POL
3 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
WAL
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |