Germany U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SCO
1 - 1
GER
21%
21%
58%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GER
5 - 0
LVA
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
BLR
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
NED
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
GER
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
1 - 0
ARM
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROU
1 - 0
LTU
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
LTU
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 2
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | -1 |