Germany U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
GRC
0 - 3
GER
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
SYM
4 - 2
GER
17%
21%
63%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
CZE
1 - 2
GER
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2005 |
NED
0 - 2
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
GER
3 - 0
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
NIR
0 - 1
SYM
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
NIR
0 - 1
GRC
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
NIR
1 - 2
ROU
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SVN
3 - 1
NIR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 0
HUN
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |