Germany U18 vs Poland U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
POL
2 - 1
GER
37%
24%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1997 |
FRO
0 - 7
GER
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 6 | 52 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
GER
4 - 1
EST
85%
12%
4%
|
58 | 6 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
GER
4 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
POR
5 - 1
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
POL
2 - 1
GER
37%
24%
40%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
NOR
0 - 2
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
POL
1 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
IRL
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1996 |
POL
1 - 1
DEN
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |