Alemannia Aachen II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
DUS
0 - 1
AAA
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
GEW
3 - 2
AAA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
WUP
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAY
3 - 1
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 2
SWE
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
VFB
1 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 2
VFB
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VFB
5 - 1
SWE
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
KFC
3 - 2
VFB
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VFB
5 - 1
BER
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |