Alemannia Aachen II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 7
AAA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ABI
3 - 1
AAA
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
3 - 0
AAA
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 2
WER
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 3
VIK
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
WER
1 - 2
VEL
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 1
VEL
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
DOR
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |