Alemannia Aachen II vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
WUP
2 - 1
AAA
32%
27%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 1
BAY
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 1
AAA
68%
20%
13%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 2
KFC
54%
25%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BER
0 - 1
AAA
44%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GEW
2 - 0
VEL
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WUP
1 - 0
GEW
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
GEW
0 - 3
FOR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
GEW
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GEW
1 - 0
MSV
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |