Alemannia Aachen II vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
AAA
1 - 3
HUR
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEW
2 - 2
AAA
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AAA
3 - 1
BER
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
AAA
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AAA
3 - 0
SCB
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
BFR
15%
19%
67%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 1
GER
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GER
2 - 3
VIA
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GEW
2 - 1
GER
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GER
1 - 6
BSC
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |