Alemannia Aachen II vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 0
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BFR
0 - 1
AAA
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 1
H05
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIA
1 - 1
AAA
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AAA
0 - 2
BER
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GER
3 - 1
ALT
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
GER
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
BSC
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BFR
2 - 3
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GER
1 - 3
WEG
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |