Alemannia Aachen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
SWE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MSV
0 - 2
AAA
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AAA
2 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
GEW
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 0
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BER
0 - 0
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 3
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 2
HUL
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SPR
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
KÖL
4 - 0
SCH
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |