Alemannia Aachen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GEW
0 - 1
AAA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
STR
6 - 0
AAA
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
AAA
5 - 1
VFB
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DUS
0 - 1
AAA
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
GEW
3 - 2
AAA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
KÖL
1 - 1
FOR
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
KÖL
1 - 3
OSN
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MAG
7 - 1
KÖL
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
KÖL
3 - 1
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |