Alegría vs San Prudencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
ALE
56%
22%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
DAC
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
ALE
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 3
ALE
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
ZUI
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Prudencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 2
ZUI
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 2
CDS
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 0
AUR
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ELP
2 - 5
CDS
16%
18%
65%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
6 - 2
ADC
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |