Alecrim vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 0
ALE
86%
11%
4%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 3
ARN
9%
20%
72%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 0
ALE
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
POT
5 - 1
ALE
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 0
ALE
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
FEL
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 0
ALE
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 0
FEL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABC
4 - 0
FEL
83%
13%
4%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |