Alecrim vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALE
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
ALE
1 - 1
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CSA
2 - 1
ALE
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
BOT
2 - 1
ALE
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
14%
25%
62%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1986 |
COM
2 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
COM
1 - 0
CSA
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
COM
1 - 1
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
COM
1 - 2
ATM
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
PAL
4 - 2
COM
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |