Alecrim vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
ALE
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 1
ALE
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 3
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 3
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 2
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
ARN
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
4 - 1
ARN
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
POT
3 - 1
ARN
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 2
SER
65%
20%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |