Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 2
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 0
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
5 - 1
POT
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 0
ITA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |