Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 1
ALE
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 0
ALE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 1
ASS
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALE
47%
27%
27%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
13%
19%
67%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
ABC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
4 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ABC
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |