Aldosivi vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldosivi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
1 - 1
CAU
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
ALD
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
ALD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 1
RAC
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOB
1 - 1
ALD
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 1
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
MOR
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
FLA
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
3 - 1
MOR
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |