Aldosivi vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldosivi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FER
3 - 1
ALD
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 1
CAI
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ALD
3 - 1
BUC
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALD
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 2
PLA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
GIM
31%
32%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CAU
2 - 0
MER
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
GIM
33%
31%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
BEL
22%
29%
49%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |