Aldershot Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
BED
7 - 0
ALD
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ALD
3 - 3
BED
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TOW
4 - 1
ALD
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALD
0 - 2
EBB
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LEY
0 - 0
ALD
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WRE
3 - 0
BOS
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
4 - 0
WRE
53%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
WRE
2 - 0
EAS
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WRE
0 - 0
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
WRE
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |