FA Cup 1/64
Global 1-2
Aldershot Town vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
DAG
2 - 5
ALD
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 0
ALD
44%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 0
ALD
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 0
BRE
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
HUR
3 - 3
TRA
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 0
ALD
44%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 0
SOU
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LEY
2 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |