Aldershot Town vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALD
4 - 1
WOR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
WES
2 - 5
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 1
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
5 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 0
BOS
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 2
BRI
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 0
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KID
5 - 3
TAM
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 2
GRI
29%
29%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |