Aldershot Town vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 1
ALD
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
ALD
1 - 2
HER
32%
24%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
WOK
2 - 2
ALD
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
4 - 2
ALD
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ALD
2 - 0
STE
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TAM
2 - 1
EXE
31%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
TAM
2 - 0
HAL
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TAM
2 - 0
WOK
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
EBB
2 - 0
TAM
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |