Aldershot Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
WOK
1 - 2
ALD
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ALD
4 - 0
WOK
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALD
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ALD
3 - 4
EAS
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
ALD
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 2
WRE
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
WRE
1 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
4 - 3
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 4
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
SOL
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |