Aldershot Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
1 - 2
BOR
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 2
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
3 - 4
GRI
17%
25%
58%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 1
BRA
23%
28%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIN
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 2
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 2
WOK
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
GUI
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |