Aldershot Town vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
WYC
2 - 1
ALD
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
ALD
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 2
OXF
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 1
ALD
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 1
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
BRO
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
2 - 0
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
FLE
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
SOU
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |