Aldershot Town vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
ALD
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALD
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALD
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 2
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 2
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PLY
2 - 2
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 4
SWI
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |