League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Aldershot Town vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALD
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALD
3 - 1
LIN
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALD
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
CRE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 2
GUL
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
ROT
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
ROT
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |