FA Cup 1/128
Global 4-1
Aldershot Town vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 0
ALD
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
3 - 1
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
5 - 1
ALD
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
ROT
2 - 0
LEI
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 0
WYC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 1
DAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
ROT
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
BCF
1 - 2
ROT
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |