Aldershot Town vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 1
ALD
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
ALD
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
AFC
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 0
CUM
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 3
CHA
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
SCU
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 4
ROC
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
STE
4 - 2
ROC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 3
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |