Aldershot Town vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STF
1 - 1
ALD
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRO
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
ALD
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
ALD
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
DAG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
POR
70%
18%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |