Aldershot Town vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 0
ALD
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ALD
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
DAG
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
PLY
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 1
PLY
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |