Aldershot Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 4
GUL
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 2
WOK
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 2
ALD
57%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 2
SUT
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 1
ALD
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 3
MAI
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
SUT
0 - 1
NOT
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NOT
4 - 2
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 1
ALT
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 3
YOR
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |