Aldershot Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ALD
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 1
ROT
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALD
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 2
BRO
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
FLE
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
DAG
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |