Aldershot Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
ALD
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 3
ALD
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 2
ROT
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALD
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
BUR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 2
NOR
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 0
STE
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
STO
2 - 2
NOR
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |