FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-1
Aldershot Town vs Maidenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
ALD
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
ALD
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 0
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 1
CRE
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Maidenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WES
4 - 2
MAI
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 2
HAM
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
ALD
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 4
DOV
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 1
MAI
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |