Aldershot Town vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WOK
1 - 2
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ALD
3 - 2
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
ALD
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 4
ALD
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LUT
1 - 0
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
ALF
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 0
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
GAT
24%
26%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
WOK
27%
25%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |