Aldershot Town vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 0
ALD
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 2
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 3
ROT
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GIL
4 - 0
ALD
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
PLY
2 - 1
ALD
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
HEN
1 - 1
MET
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HEN
2 - 1
LEI
46%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 1
HEN
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 0
HEN
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HEN
2 - 2
CON
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |