Aldershot Town vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
3 - 2
WYC
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
3 - 0
ALD
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
ALD
2 - 0
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
ALD
22%
25%
54%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 3
ALD
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GRI
1 - 0
STF
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
GRI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
GRI
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
GRI
3 - 3
BOU
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 2
GRI
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |