Aldershot Town vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 0
SOL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 4
FOR
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
YOR
0 - 1
ALD
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALD
3 - 0
GAT
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALD
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
EAS
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
HAD
1 - 4
EAS
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 0
HAD
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 5
CHM
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 1
MET
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |