Aldershot Town vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 1
ALD
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
OXF
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALD
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 1
CRE
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 0
WYC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
STF
0 - 1
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 0
NOR
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |