Aldershot Town vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 0
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
STF
3 - 1
ALD
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 3
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ALD
4 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
ALD
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 0
BCF
44%
26%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BCF
2 - 1
ROT
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 3
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BCF
2 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
BCF
2 - 1
TRA
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |