FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-1
Aldershot Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 0
ALD
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
ALD
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
HER
2 - 2
ALD
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 3
BCF
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CRE
3 - 1
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
MKD
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
ALD
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOU
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EXE
2 - 4
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |