FA Trophy 1/32
Global 3-10
Aldershot Town vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TOW
4 - 1
ALD
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALD
0 - 2
EBB
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LEY
0 - 0
ALD
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALD
0 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALD
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 3
BED
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BED
3 - 1
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
THA
2 - 1
BED
26%
20%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DID
4 - 3
BED
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BED
2 - 1
WOR
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |