Aldershot Town vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 0
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
ALD
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALD
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
STF
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |