Aldershot Town vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 1
ROT
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALD
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 2
BRO
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
4 - 2
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
DAG
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 1
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
STA
65%
22%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
PLY
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |