Aldeano vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAÑ
0 - 1
ALD
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALD
2 - 2
BAL
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RBF
2 - 3
ALD
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
ALD
4 - 1
AUT
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CEN
3 - 2
ALD
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
SDS
47%
22%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAX
0 - 1
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
PRA
9%
17%
75%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TED
1 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
PRA
15%
21%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | -1 |