Aldeano vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAÑ
1 - 1
ALD
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
NAX
91%
7%
3%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 3
ALD
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 1
SPO
70%
16%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 1
ALD
33%
21%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
ILO
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAÑ
0 - 3
CAL
33%
24%
43%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
TDN
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NAX
1 - 3
CAL
39%
25%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 4
PRA
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |