Aldea del Rey vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldea del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
STO
0 - 1
ALD
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 1
DAI
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TER
0 - 1
ALD
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
LSO
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ZON
1 - 1
ALD
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
MIG
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ADS
0 - 1
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
LAS
38%
24%
38%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DBA
2 - 2
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 1
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |