UE Alcudia vs Penya Independent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
18º
7º
43
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 69 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 37 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 25 |
17º
|
62.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 18 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 47% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Alcudia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 1
CLL
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 2
ALC
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
BNS
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IMA
1 - 7
ALC
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MNC
1 - 1
PIN
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 1
PXD
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
SDF
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 2
TCF
34%
28%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 0
PIN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |